
Last week's record: 10-6
Season to date: 126-65-1
Last week vs. spread: 7-9
Season vs. spread: 86-102-4
\ Jaguars (4-8) at Bears (6-6)
Noon Sunday, WBBM-Ch. 2, WBBM-AM 780
Line: Bears by 6 1/2, Weather: 25?, partly cloudy
Jaguars buzz: Have lost 3 straight, not scoring more than 17, and 5 of 6. One of NFL's disappointments not likely to thaw out at Soldier Field.
Bears buzz: Vikings' suspensions and 3 straight home games, beginning Sunday (then Saints, Packers), give them hope in weak division.
Fantasy outlook: Jags' Maurice Jones-Drew has run for 11 TDs, averaging 4.2 yards per carry; Bears' Matt Forte has 10 TDs (6 run, 4 pass) and is 3rd in NFL with 1,370 yards from scrimmage.
Bears 20 Jaguars 10
\ MATCHUP: Vikings (7-5) at Lions (0-12)
Noon Sunday
Line: Vikings by 8 1/2
Weather: Sunny, 45?
THE BUZZ: Vikings: Good game to get kinks out--Vikes have won 12 of last 13 in non-rivalry.
Lions: Ex-Viking Daunte Culpepper leads Lions' upset hopes. But they haven't held anyone under 25 points in 7 games.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Vikes' Adrian Peterson leads NFL with 1,311 rushing yards, and has run for 9 TDs. Lions' Kevin Smith (4.3 avg., 5 TDs) may find running room.
THE PICK: Vikings 30 Lions 17
\ MATCHUP: Texans (5-7) at Packers (5-7)
Noon Sunday
Line: Packers by 6
Weather: Partly cloudy, 20?
THE BUZZ: Texans: QB Matt Schaub returns from knee injury after watching Texans go 2-2 without him. But can they run ball on frozen tundra?
Packers: Maybe this is where they miss Brett Favre--0-4 in games decided by 4 points or less. Should be able to run in this one.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Texans' Andre Johnson leads NFL with 88 catches, 4 for TDs; Packers' Greg Jennings has TD in 3 straight games (64 catches, 7 TDs overall).
THE PICK: Packers 24 Texans 17
\ MATCHUP: Bengals (1-10-1) at Colts (8-4)
Noon Sunday
Line: Colts by 13 1/2
Weather: Dome
THE BUZZ: Bengals: Have scored just 26 points since week off (0-2-1), so difficult to see them mounting much of attack. Cedric Benson not helping (2.9 per carry).
Colts: Should extend win streak to 6 and win by more than 6 points, which they haven't done in 5 weeks. Colts have beaten Bengals 5 straight.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Bengals' Chad Ocho Cinco has 17 catches for 298 yards in 3 games vs. Colts; Indy's Reggie Wayne has 12 catches, 2 TDs, in last 2 games vs. Bengals.
THE PICK: Colts 27 Bengals 6
\ MATCHUP: Falcons (8-4) at Saints (6-6)
Noon Sunday
Line: Saints by 3
Weather: Dome
THE BUZZ: Falcons: Won at Green Bay, Oakland, San Diego. But this is against division rival. Have won 4 of last 5 overall, and are 1 game out of 1st in NFC South.
Saints: NFL's No. 1 offense getting big plays from Drew Brees (NFL-leading 24 TD passes). Will miss suspended RB Deuce McAllister and DE Will Smith.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Falcons rookie Matt Ryan tossed 2 TD passes in home win over Saints 4 weeks ago. Saints' Lance Moore has 6 TD catches in last 5 games, 8 this season.
THE PICK: Saints 24 Falcons 17
\ MATCHUP: Eagles (6-5-1) at Giants (11-1)
Noon Sunday
Line: Giants by 7
Weather: 30% chance of snow, 40?
THE BUZZ: Eagles: Should have saved some points from last week's 28-point win over Arizona. Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook will hit field with confidence.
Giants: Plaxico Burress distraction factor is over, but will they miss him on field? They're too deep to worry, and have won 6 of 7 vs. Eagles. Can clinch NFC East with win.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Eagles' Westbrook has run for 8 TDs; Giants' Brandon Jacobs has run for 12, including 2 win in at Philly Nov. 9.
THE PICK: Giants 23 Eagles 13
\ MATCHUP: Browns (4-8) at Titans (11-1)
Noon Sunday
Line: Titans by 13 1/2
Weather: Partly cloudy, 40?
THE BUZZ: Browns: Ken Dorsey, 3rd starting QB of season, hasn't completed pass since '05 with 49ers. In exhibitions this year, he threw 1 TD vs. 3 INTs.
Titans: Have won 14 of last 15 regular-season games. Clinch AFC South with win and have 2-game lead for AFC's top seed. Turnover differential of plus-13.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Jamal Lewis, averaging just 3.6 yards per carry, has 4 rushing TDs; Titans' Chris Johnson averaging 4.7 with 7 rushing TDs.
THE PICK: Titans 30 Browns 13
\ MATCHUP: Dolphins (7-5) vs. Bills (6-6) at Toronto
3:05 p.m. Sunday
Line: Bills by 1
Weather: Dome
THE BUZZ: Dolphins: No room for error in wild-card race; won 5 of 6 with 49ers, Chiefs, Jets to close season. Other than Parcells, who'd have guessed?
Bills: Toronto's Rogers Centre their home-away-from-home; would have better chance vs. Fish in Buffalo. J.P. Losman may start at QB ahead of Trent Edwards (groin).
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Ted Ginn had career-best 175 yards on 7 catches in Miami's Oct. 26 win over Bills. Marshawn Lynch, Fred Jackson lead all RB duos with 70 catches for Bills.
THE PICK: Dolphins 20 Bills 17
\ MATCHUP: Chiefs (2-10) at Broncos (7-5)
3:05 p.m. Sunday
Line: Broncos by 9
Weather: Partly cloudy, 55?
THE BUZZ: Chiefs: One of Chiefs' wins was over Broncos, which works against them in this one. Win last week at Raiders only shows how bad Raiders are.
Broncos: On 3-game skid at home; haven't lost 4 straight in Denver in single season since 1990.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Chiefs' Larry Johnson ran for 198 yards and 2 TDs in Sept. 28 win over Broncos. Broncos rookie Peyton Hillis goes for 4th straight game with running TD.
THE PICK: Broncos 24 Chiefs 20
\ MATCHUP: Jets (8-4) at 49ers (4-8)
3:05 p.m. Sunday
Line: Jets by 4
Weather: Partly cloudy, 60?
THE BUZZ: Jets: Have won 3 straight road games (Bills, Patriots, Titans) and are getting big years from RB Thomas Jones and QB Brett Favre.
49ers: They're hot, by their standards--they've won 2 out of 3 and are 2-3 under interim coach Mike Singletary. They've won 4 of QB Shaun Hill's 6 starts.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Jets rookie TE Dustin Keller has 27 catches (1 TD) in last 4 games. Veteran Isaac Bruce has 6 TD catches for 49ers.
THE PICK: Jets 24 49ers 16
\ MATCHUP: Patriots (7-5) at Seahawks (2-10)
3:05 p.m. Sunday
Line: Patriots by 4 1/2
Weather: 40% chance of rain, 50?
THE BUZZ: Patriots: Will stay on West Coast and visit Raiders next week. In October, won at San Francisco and lost at San Diego. Need split to stay in hunt.
Seahawks: Five straight losses, 4 games to go. No way for Mike Holmgren to wind down his coaching career.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Pats' Matt Cassel has completed 59.4 percent with 6 TD passes vs. 3 INTs in last 3. Seahawks' Matt Hasselbeck having long year: 5 TD passes vs. 10 INTs.
THE PICK: Patriots 30 Seahawks 20
\ MATCHUP: Rams (2-10) at Cardinals (7-5)
3:15 p.m. Sunday
Line: Cardinals by 14
Weather: Cloudy, 70?
THE BUZZ: Rams: Offensive drought just keeps dragging on with just 63 points in 6-game losing streak. Have scored more than 19 points once all season.
Cardinals: Clinch NFC West (would be 1st division title since '75) with win or 49ers loss. But have allowed 85 points in losses to Giants and Eagles last 2 games.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Rams rookie Donnie Avery rare bright spot with 35 catches for 499 yards. Cards' Anquan Boldin has 78 catches, NFL-leading 11 TD catches.
THE PICK: Cardinals 30 Rams 12
\ MATCHUP: Cowboys (8-4) at Steelers (9-3)
3:15 p.m. Sunday
TV: WFLD-Ch. 32
Line: Steelers by 3
Weather: 30% chance of snow, windy, 30?
THE BUZZ: Cowboys: Have won 3 straight since bye week. Tony Romo leads NFL with 103.2 passer rating. They're building momentum.
Steelers: No. 1-ranked defense has allowed only 10 points per game in 3-game winning streak. Doesn't take much offense with that defense.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Cowboys' Terrell Owens has 12 catches for 311 yards and 2 TDs in last 2 weeks; Steelers' Willie Parker averages 106.2 rushing yards at home.
THE PICK: Steelers 20 Cowboys 14
\ MATCHUP: Redskins (7-5) at Ravens (8-4)
7:15 p.m. Sunday
TV/radio: WMAQ-Ch. 5, WSCR-AM 670
Line: Ravens by 5
Weather: 30% chance of snow, windy, 40?
THE BUZZ: Redskins: Fast start has faded as Redskins have lost 3 of 4 vs. toughest chunk of schedule. They need big plays on offense.
Ravens: Winners of 6 of last 7, Ravens have won last 2 by combined 70-10 margin (Eagles, Bengals). This won't be that easy, but defense will dominate.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Redskins' Clinton Portis is NFL's No. 2 rusher with 1,228 yards, and has run for 7 TDs. Ravens rookie Joe Flacco has thrown 12 TD passes vs. 9 INTs.
THE PICK: Ravens 20 Redskins 10
\ MATCHUP: Bucs (9-3) at Panthers (9-3)
7:30 p.m. Monday
TV/radio: ESPN, WSCR-AM 670
Line: Panthers by 3
Weather: Partly cloudy, 45?
THE BUZZ: Bucs: QB Jeff Garcia has won last 5 starts against Panthers--including 27-3 at Tampa in October. He brings Bucs to Charlotte with 4-game win streak.
Panthers: With 5 wins in 6 weeks, and 6-0 home record, everything's going right for Panthers as they head into this showdown for 1st in NFC South.
FANTASY OUTLOOK: Garcia has 9 TD passes vs. 3 INTs in last 5 games vs. Panthers. DeAngelo Williams has rushed for 541 yards and scored 9 TDs in last 5 games.
THE PICK: Panthers 27 BUCS 20
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